mentions

Trump appears on Sunday Night in America

What will Trump say during Sunday Night in America?

Held

Sun, Aug 30

9:00 PM ET /

Trump

Interview

Transcribe Kalshi Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump +1 later

15 said 11 not said of 26 words

Not held 27 of 313 past Trump events, 1 of 40 interviews

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Interviews Official interviews · 2 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore26¢ All16/69 23% Interviews1/10 10% Official interviews0/2 0% N Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore23¢ All49/131 37% Interviews8/24 33% Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore12¢ All21/63 33% Interviews0/4 0% small n Official interviews0/2 0% N N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore15¢ All24/66 36% Interviews3/11 27% Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore98¢ All192/261 74% Interviews27/36 75% Official interviews1/2 50% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore31¢ All21/29 72% Interviews0/3 0% small n Official interviews0/2 0% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore8¢ All8/70 11% Interviews2/13 15% Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore71¢ All38/60 63% Interviews6/10 60% Official interviews1/2 50% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore96¢ All26/57 46% Interviews4/9 44% Official interviews1/2 50% N Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore6¢ All9/199 5% Interviews2/32 6% Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore99¢ All124/179 69% Interviews21/26 81% Official interviews1/2 50% Y N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore41¢ All52/98 53% Interviews11/18 61% Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore26¢ All18/63 29% Interviews1/10 10% Official interviews1/2 50% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore37¢ All121/235 51% Interviews10/32 31% Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore21¢ All4/22 18% Interviews0/5 0% Official interviews0/2 0% Y N Y N N
YES Before startBefore60¢ All39/51 76% Interviews9/11 82% Official interviews0/2 0% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore13¢ All15/36 42% Interviews0/2 0% small n Official interviews0/2 0% N N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore21¢ All— Interviews— Official interviews1/2 50% —
NO Before startBefore51¢ All17/40 43% Interviews6/9 67% Official interviews1/2 50% N N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore83¢ All47/79 59% Interviews12/16 75% Official interviews0/2 0% N Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore27¢ All10/16 63% Interviews2/3 67% small n Official interviews1/2 50% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore34¢ All21/43 49% Interviews5/10 50% Official interviews0/2 0% N Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore99¢ All0/1 0% Interviews— Official interviews0/2 0% N
YES Before startBefore65¢ All71/137 52% Interviews15/25 60% Official interviews0/2 0% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore93¢ All37/106 35% Interviews5/15 33% Official interviews1/2 50% N N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore18¢ All29/60 48% Interviews5/7 71% Official interviews0/2 0% N N N Y N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official interviews: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Interviews. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Special for this event

  • Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream.
  • Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
  • Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Fox News: Sunday Night in America, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the Fox News: Sunday Night in America using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Fox News: Sunday Night in America will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker