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Trump holds a Healthcare Affordability Event

What will Trump say during his Healthcare Affordability Event?

Held

Mon, May 18

4:30 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks on Health Care Costs and Affordability and an Exchange With Reporters

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now +1 later

14 said 24 not said of 38 words

Not held 21 of 223 past Trump events, 10 of 133 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 323 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore50¢ All22/61 36% Speeches / ceremonies12/35 34% Official speeches / ceremonies34/323 11% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore27¢ All25/56 45% Speeches / ceremonies19/36 53% Official speeches / ceremonies97/323 30% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore66¢ All135/183 74% Speeches / ceremonies79/110 72% Official speeches / ceremonies205/323 63% Y N Y N N
YES Before startBefore92¢ All4/5 80% Speeches / ceremonies4/5 80% Official speeches / ceremonies70/323 22% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore19¢ All0/3 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/3 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies18/323 6% N N N
NO Before startBefore21¢ All7/30 23% Speeches / ceremonies2/14 14% Official speeches / ceremonies29/323 9% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore83¢ All72/109 66% Speeches / ceremonies47/73 64% Official speeches / ceremonies167/323 52% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore2¢ All5/119 4% Speeches / ceremonies5/77 6% Official speeches / ceremonies17/323 5% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore88¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies15/323 5% N N
YES Before startBefore79¢ All81/113 72% Speeches / ceremonies46/69 67% Official speeches / ceremonies173/323 54% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore19¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies16/323 5% —
NO Before startBefore19¢ All31/48 65% Speeches / ceremonies17/29 59% Official speeches / ceremonies44/323 14% Y N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore67¢ All22/39 56% Speeches / ceremonies12/25 48% Official speeches / ceremonies111/323 34% Y N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore95¢ All2/2 100% Speeches / ceremonies2/2 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies38/323 12% Y Y
NO Before startBefore73¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies13/323 4% Y
NO Before startBefore21¢ All7/20 35% Speeches / ceremonies4/10 40% Official speeches / ceremonies47/323 15% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore27¢ All6/22 27% Speeches / ceremonies6/16 38% Official speeches / ceremonies58/323 18% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore32¢ All13/22 59% Speeches / ceremonies9/14 64% Official speeches / ceremonies111/323 34% Y N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore36¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/323 0% —
NO Before startBefore14¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies2/323 1% N N
YES Before startBefore57¢ All87/158 55% Speeches / ceremonies63/97 65% Official speeches / ceremonies126/323 39% N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore64¢ All1/3 33% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n Official speeches / ceremonies35/323 11% N N Y
YES Before startBefore80¢ All6/10 60% Speeches / ceremonies3/4 75% small n Official speeches / ceremonies128/323 40% Y Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore30¢ All14/27 52% Speeches / ceremonies8/19 42% Official speeches / ceremonies89/323 28% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore27¢ All2/10 20% Speeches / ceremonies2/10 20% Official speeches / ceremonies23/323 7% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore49¢ All3/3 100% Speeches / ceremonies3/3 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies50/323 15% Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore15¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies5/323 2% N
YES Before startBefore79¢ All64/93 69% Speeches / ceremonies33/52 63% Official speeches / ceremonies121/323 37% Y Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore54¢ All27/49 55% Speeches / ceremonies15/30 50% Official speeches / ceremonies114/323 35% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore47¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies12/323 4% Y
NO Before startBefore8¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies1/323 0% N
YES Before startBefore61¢ All33/57 58% Speeches / ceremonies21/38 55% Official speeches / ceremonies81/323 25% Y N Y N N
NO Before startBefore32¢ All11/32 34% Speeches / ceremonies8/23 35% Official speeches / ceremonies68/323 21% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore86¢ All84/123 68% Speeches / ceremonies54/76 71% Official speeches / ceremonies178/323 55% Y N Y N N
NO Before startBefore46¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies145/323 45% —
NO Before startBefore29¢ All11/38 29% Speeches / ceremonies8/28 29% Official speeches / ceremonies65/323 20% Y N N Y N
YES Before startBefore96¢ All3/5 60% Speeches / ceremonies3/4 75% small n Official speeches / ceremonies14/323 4% Y N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore28¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies27/323 8% N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Healthcare Affordability Event, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Healthcare Affordability Event will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Healthcare Affordability Event will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker