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Trump holds Tech Roundtable

What will Trump say during his Tech Roundtable?

Held

Wed, Mar 4

3:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks During a Roundtable Discussion on the Ratepayer Protection Pledge

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now JD Vance +1 later

12 said 19 not said of 31 words

Not held 16 of 172 past Trump events, 8 of 100 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 275 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore63¢ All22/54 41% Speeches / ceremonies12/31 39% Official speeches / ceremonies31/275 11% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore30¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies1/275 0% —
NO Before startBefore26¢ All7/18 39% Speeches / ceremonies5/13 38% Official speeches / ceremonies24/275 9% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore12¢ All0/5 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/3 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies12/275 4% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore66¢ All108/140 77% Speeches / ceremonies62/82 76% Official speeches / ceremonies177/275 64% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore86¢ All60/87 69% Speeches / ceremonies37/54 69% Official speeches / ceremonies147/275 53% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore9¢ All3/81 4% Speeches / ceremonies3/50 6% Official speeches / ceremonies14/275 5% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore74¢ All60/78 77% Speeches / ceremonies32/44 73% Official speeches / ceremonies146/275 53% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore12¢ All26/40 65% Speeches / ceremonies14/24 58% Official speeches / ceremonies35/275 13% Y N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore94¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies43/275 16% N
NO Before startBefore24¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies1/275 0% N Y
YES Before startBefore38¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies52/275 19% N N
NO Before startBefore15¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/275 0% N
NO Before startBefore51¢ All67/114 59% Speeches / ceremonies47/66 71% Official speeches / ceremonies106/275 39% N N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore9¢ All10/30 33% Speeches / ceremonies5/15 33% Official speeches / ceremonies42/275 15% N Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore69¢ All23/34 68% Speeches / ceremonies12/20 60% Official speeches / ceremonies89/275 32% Y Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore29¢ All14/27 52% Speeches / ceremonies8/15 53% Official speeches / ceremonies70/275 25% Y N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore10¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies1/275 0% N N
NO Before startBefore1¢ All0/3 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies0/275 0% N N N
NO Before startBefore31¢ All1/4 25% Speeches / ceremonies0/3 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies35/275 13% N Y N N
YES Before startBefore63¢ All2/3 67% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies59/275 21% Y N Y
YES Before startBefore21¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies37/275 13% N Y
YES Before startBefore71¢ All9/25 36% Speeches / ceremonies3/12 25% Official speeches / ceremonies87/275 32% Y N Y N N
NO Before startBefore12¢ All2/3 67% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies29/275 11% Y N Y
NO Before startBefore22¢ All10/22 45% Speeches / ceremonies5/13 38% Official speeches / ceremonies42/275 15% N N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore60¢ All18/28 64% Speeches / ceremonies13/20 65% Official speeches / ceremonies62/275 23% Y Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore60¢ All68/92 74% Speeches / ceremonies42/53 79% Official speeches / ceremonies156/275 57% Y N N N Y
NO Before startBefore29¢ All3/6 50% Speeches / ceremonies3/4 75% small n Official speeches / ceremonies56/275 20% N Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore84¢ All54/63 86% Speeches / ceremonies37/40 93% Official speeches / ceremonies155/275 56% N Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore27¢ All3/8 38% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies15/275 5% Y N N Y N
NO Before startBefore17¢ All1/3 33% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies36/275 13% Y N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Special for this event

  • For the purposes of this market, “next White House (YouTube) announcement” refers to the first qualifying livestream on the White House main YouTube channel (@WhiteHouse) after March 3rd, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of next White House (YouTube) live announcement, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the next White House (YouTube) live announcement will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the next White House (YouTube) live announcement will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Plural nouns used as or within a proper nouns (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included. Please see full rules for more details. For the purposes of this market, “next White House (YouTube) announcement” refers to the first qualifying livestream on the White House main YouTube channel (@WhiteHouse) after March 3rd, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity; if Donald Trump is present during a livestream, but does not speak in an official capacity, the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). If Donald Trump is not present during a livestream posted by the White House the market will not qualify. Additional source agency streams can be used in the event of technical outages or if the White House ends the stream prior to the conclusion of the event. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the livestream will not count. Press gaggles will not qualify.

Cases

All cases of this speaker