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Trump makes a coal announcement

What will Trump say during his coal announcement?

Held

Thu, Jun 4

3:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks on Coal and an Exchange With Reporters

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump +1 later

20 said 14 not said of 34 words

Not held 21 of 232 past Trump events, 10 of 139 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 334 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore33¢ All3/18 17% Speeches / ceremonies3/12 25% Official speeches / ceremonies51/334 15% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore78¢ All27/64 42% Speeches / ceremonies21/41 51% Official speeches / ceremonies102/334 31% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore39¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies5/334 1% —
NO Before startBefore31¢ All17/44 39% Speeches / ceremonies13/35 37% Official speeches / ceremonies40/334 12% N N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore36¢ All4/16 25% Speeches / ceremonies1/10 10% Official speeches / ceremonies28/334 8% Y Y N N N
YES Before startBefore23¢ All0/9 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/7 0% Official speeches / ceremonies15/334 4% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore86¢ All140/190 74% Speeches / ceremonies82/115 71% Official speeches / ceremonies211/334 63% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore17¢ All17/24 71% Speeches / ceremonies15/19 79% Official speeches / ceremonies90/334 27% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore91¢ All1/4 25% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies77/334 23% N Y N N
NO Before startBefore31¢ All7/35 20% Speeches / ceremonies2/17 12% Official speeches / ceremonies30/334 9% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore84¢ All5/7 71% Speeches / ceremonies4/5 80% Official speeches / ceremonies176/334 53% N Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore37¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies19/334 6% —
NO Before startBefore4¢ All5/127 4% Speeches / ceremonies5/83 6% Official speeches / ceremonies17/334 5% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore83¢ All86/122 70% Speeches / ceremonies49/75 65% Official speeches / ceremonies178/334 53% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore30¢ All7/15 47% Speeches / ceremonies5/12 42% Official speeches / ceremonies34/334 10% N N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore71¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies3/334 1% —
YES Before startBefore81¢ All53/77 69% Speeches / ceremonies36/51 71% Official speeches / ceremonies199/334 60% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore61¢ All2/3 67% Speeches / ceremonies2/3 67% small n Official speeches / ceremonies60/334 18% N Y Y
YES Before startBefore75¢ All27/45 60% Speeches / ceremonies15/29 52% Official speeches / ceremonies117/334 35% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore80¢ All15/25 60% Speeches / ceremonies10/16 63% Official speeches / ceremonies113/334 34% Y Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore69¢ All2/4 50% Speeches / ceremonies2/4 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies31/334 9% N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore25¢ All6/19 32% Speeches / ceremonies3/15 20% Official speeches / ceremonies21/334 6% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore47¢ All9/25 36% Speeches / ceremonies4/14 29% Official speeches / ceremonies16/334 5% N N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore68¢ All94/167 56% Speeches / ceremonies69/103 67% Official speeches / ceremonies134/334 40% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore82¢ All7/7 100% Speeches / ceremonies3/3 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies82/334 25% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore58¢ All17/33 52% Speeches / ceremonies9/23 39% Official speeches / ceremonies93/334 28% Y Y N N N
YES Before startBefore94¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies53/334 16% Y
NO Before startBefore72¢ All11/15 73% Speeches / ceremonies3/6 50% Official speeches / ceremonies76/334 23% Y Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore91¢ All71/100 71% Speeches / ceremonies38/57 67% Official speeches / ceremonies131/334 39% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore85¢ All28/53 53% Speeches / ceremonies15/33 45% Official speeches / ceremonies119/334 36% Y N N N Y
NO Before startBefore71¢ All39/66 59% Speeches / ceremonies26/44 59% Official speeches / ceremonies90/334 27% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore64¢ All88/129 68% Speeches / ceremonies57/80 71% Official speeches / ceremonies183/334 55% N Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore32¢ All1/4 25% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies15/334 4% Y N N N
YES Before startBefore63¢ All4/15 27% Speeches / ceremonies1/8 13% Official speeches / ceremonies18/334 5% N N N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Announcement on Beautiful, Clean Coal, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Announcement on Beautiful, Clean Coal will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Announcement on Beautiful, Clean Coal will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker