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Trump holds a Maternal Healthcare Event

What will Trump say during the Maternal Healthcare Event?

Held

Mon, May 11

10:30 AM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now +1 later

14 said 10 not said of 24 words

Not held 21 of 216 past Trump events, 10 of 130 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 319 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore16¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies0/319 0% N N
YES Before startBefore33¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies16/319 5% —
YES Before startBefore75¢ All132/176 75% Speeches / ceremonies78/107 73% Official speeches / ceremonies204/319 64% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore90¢ All3/4 75% Speeches / ceremonies3/4 75% small n Official speeches / ceremonies70/319 22% Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore40¢ All50/73 68% Speeches / ceremonies28/41 68% Official speeches / ceremonies178/319 56% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore76¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies168/319 53% —
NO Before startBefore2¢ All5/112 4% Speeches / ceremonies5/74 7% Official speeches / ceremonies17/319 5% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore81¢ All80/109 73% Speeches / ceremonies45/66 68% Official speeches / ceremonies172/319 54% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore21¢ All7/11 64% Speeches / ceremonies5/9 56% Official speeches / ceremonies50/319 16% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore52¢ All45/66 68% Speeches / ceremonies30/43 70% Official speeches / ceremonies191/319 60% Y N N Y N
NO Before startBefore14¢ All6/15 40% Speeches / ceremonies4/8 50% Official speeches / ceremonies46/319 14% Y Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore36¢ All12/21 57% Speeches / ceremonies8/13 62% Official speeches / ceremonies111/319 35% N N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore65¢ All14/22 64% Speeches / ceremonies11/17 65% Official speeches / ceremonies49/319 15% N N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore30¢ All7/21 33% Speeches / ceremonies3/12 25% Official speeches / ceremonies14/319 4% N N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore41¢ All84/151 56% Speeches / ceremonies61/94 65% Official speeches / ceremonies124/319 39% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore86¢ All1/3 33% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies126/319 39% Y N N
NO Before startBefore20¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies15/319 5% Y N
NO Before startBefore55¢ All2/9 22% Speeches / ceremonies2/9 22% Official speeches / ceremonies23/319 7% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore19¢ All2/6 33% Speeches / ceremonies2/3 67% small n Official speeches / ceremonies38/319 12% N Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore43¢ All26/48 54% Speeches / ceremonies14/29 48% Official speeches / ceremonies114/319 36% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore57¢ All30/50 60% Speeches / ceremonies20/35 57% Official speeches / ceremonies81/319 25% N Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore37¢ All11/29 38% Speeches / ceremonies8/21 38% Official speeches / ceremonies66/319 21% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore33¢ All10/35 29% Speeches / ceremonies8/26 31% Official speeches / ceremonies65/319 20% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore78¢ All2/4 50% Speeches / ceremonies2/3 67% small n Official speeches / ceremonies14/319 4% N Y Y N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Maternal Healthcare Event, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Maternal Healthcare Event will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Maternal Healthcare Event will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker