mentions.tools

Trump delivers remarks at the UP Summit

What will Trump say during his remarks at the UP Summit?

Held

Fri, Nov 6

5:30 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / announcement

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event

9 said 17 not said of 26 words

Not held 27 of 376 past Trump events, 12 of 202 speeches / announcements

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / announcements Official speeches / announcements · 405 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore38¢ All61/190 32% Speeches / announcements39/95 41% Official speeches / announcements124/405 31% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore29¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / announcements1/2 50% small n Official speeches / announcements1/405 0% N Y
YES Before startBefore66¢ All76/112 68% Speeches / announcements40/58 69% Official speeches / announcements217/405 54% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore20¢ All1/4 25% Speeches / announcements1/2 50% small n Official speeches / announcements64/405 16% Y N N N
NO Before startBefore5¢ All0/8 0% Speeches / announcements0/5 0% Official speeches / announcements19/405 5% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore31¢ All4/35 11% Speeches / announcements1/10 10% Official speeches / announcements12/405 3% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore57¢ All13/38 34% Speeches / announcements4/18 22% Official speeches / announcements54/405 13% Y N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore65¢ All5/28 18% Speeches / announcements2/18 11% Official speeches / announcements43/405 11% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore72¢ All12/21 57% Speeches / announcements8/17 47% Official speeches / announcements65/405 16% Y Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore15¢ All4/12 33% Speeches / announcements4/9 44% Official speeches / announcements19/405 5% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore49¢ All47/63 75% Speeches / announcements23/35 66% Official speeches / announcements116/405 29% Y Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore32¢ All21/36 58% Speeches / announcements2/8 25% Official speeches / announcements39/405 10% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore56¢ All6/18 33% Speeches / announcements6/17 35% Official speeches / announcements73/405 18% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore78¢ All3/4 75% Speeches / announcements3/4 75% small n Official speeches / announcements7/405 2% Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore82¢ All3/10 30% Speeches / announcements3/8 38% Official speeches / announcements27/405 7% Y N Y N N
NO Before startBefore43¢ All5/16 31% Speeches / announcements4/15 27% Official speeches / announcements45/405 11% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore66¢ All101/140 72% Speeches / announcements56/83 67% Official speeches / announcements171/405 42% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore17¢ All3/8 38% Speeches / announcements3/6 50% Official speeches / announcements16/405 4% Y N N Y N
NO Before startBefore9¢ All0/4 0% Speeches / announcements0/3 0% small n Official speeches / announcements11/405 3% N N N N
NO Before startBefore22¢ All2/2 100% Speeches / announcements2/2 100% small n Official speeches / announcements4/405 1% Y Y
NO Before startBefore22¢ All0/4 0% Speeches / announcements0/2 0% small n Official speeches / announcements5/405 1% N N N N
YES Before startBefore84¢ All8/24 33% Speeches / announcements7/12 58% Official speeches / announcements49/405 12% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore66¢ All89/174 51% Speeches / announcements48/98 49% Official speeches / announcements116/405 29% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore22¢ All4/20 20% Speeches / announcements3/11 27% Official speeches / announcements26/405 6% N Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore64¢ All131/205 64% Speeches / announcements85/125 68% Official speeches / announcements221/405 55% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore72¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / announcements1/1 100% small n Official speeches / announcements8/405 2% Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / announcements: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / announcements. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of remarks at the UP Summit originally scheduled for November 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the remarks at the UP Summit originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the remarks at the UP Summit originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker