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Trump participates in a ribbon cutting ceremony

What will Trump say during his Ribbon Cutting Ceremony?

Held

Mon, Sep 21

1:45 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now +1 later

0 said 28 not said of 28 words

Not held 27 of 330 past Trump events, 12 of 186 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 394 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore22¢ All51/145 35% Speeches / ceremonies35/80 44% Official speeches / ceremonies121/394 31% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore74¢ All21/59 36% Speeches / ceremonies16/47 34% Official speeches / ceremonies57/394 14% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore41¢ All204/277 74% Speeches / ceremonies115/158 73% Official speeches / ceremonies251/394 64% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore69¢ All45/75 60% Speeches / ceremonies29/45 64% Official speeches / ceremonies208/394 53% Y N N N Y
NO Before startBefore1¢ All9/210 4% Speeches / ceremonies7/124 6% Official speeches / ceremonies19/394 5% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore67¢ All131/191 69% Speeches / ceremonies69/106 65% Official speeches / ceremonies212/394 54% N Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore69¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies21/394 5% —
NO Before startBefore— All12/36 33% Speeches / ceremonies3/16 19% Official speeches / ceremonies52/394 13% N Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore72¢ All59/108 55% Speeches / ceremonies35/61 57% Official speeches / ceremonies144/394 37% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore14¢ All24/41 59% Speeches / ceremonies16/25 64% Official speeches / ceremonies173/394 44% Y Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore90¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies44/394 11% —
NO Before startBefore72¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies56/394 14% Y
NO Before startBefore28¢ All127/249 51% Speeches / ceremonies91/142 64% Official speeches / ceremonies159/394 40% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore10¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies139/394 35% —
NO Before startBefore21¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies134/394 34% Y
NO Before startBefore22¢ All2/3 67% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies72/394 18% N Y Y
NO Before startBefore14¢ All20/45 44% Speeches / ceremonies10/22 45% Official speeches / ceremonies92/394 23% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore8¢ All3/9 33% Speeches / ceremonies3/6 50% Official speeches / ceremonies45/394 11% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore23¢ All5/13 38% Speeches / ceremonies4/12 33% Official speeches / ceremonies44/394 11% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore40¢ All59/95 62% Speeches / ceremonies32/48 67% Official speeches / ceremonies195/394 49% Y Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore30¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies13/394 3% —
NO Before startBefore9¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies31/394 8% Y
NO Before startBefore88¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies3/394 1% —
NO Before startBefore36¢ All78/152 51% Speeches / ceremonies44/84 52% Official speeches / ceremonies113/394 29% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore22¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies45/394 11% —
NO Before startBefore14¢ All27/64 42% Speeches / ceremonies20/44 45% Official speeches / ceremonies89/394 23% Y Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore35¢ All122/187 65% Speeches / ceremonies78/110 71% Official speeches / ceremonies216/394 55% Y N N N Y
NO Before startBefore29¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies44/394 11% —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Ribbon Cutting Ceremony originally scheduled for September 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the Ribbon Cutting Ceremony originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Ribbon Cutting Ceremony originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker