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Trump makes an announcement

What will Trump say during his announcement?

Held

Mon, Dec 22

4:30 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks on United States Naval Ship Development and an Exchange With Reporters in Palm Beach, Florida

Also now +1 later

17 said 8 not said of 25 words

Not held 10 of 118 past Trump events, 6 of 71 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 245 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore76¢ All79/96 82% Speeches / ceremonies47/58 81% Official speeches / ceremonies158/245 64% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore64¢ All43/62 69% Speeches / ceremonies29/43 67% Official speeches / ceremonies130/245 53% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore68¢ All3/4 75% Speeches / ceremonies3/4 75% small n Official speeches / ceremonies11/245 4% Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore12¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies8/245 3% N N
YES Before startBefore68¢ All35/47 74% Speeches / ceremonies22/30 73% Official speeches / ceremonies124/245 51% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore68¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies12/245 5% N N
YES Before startBefore47¢ All2/8 25% Speeches / ceremonies2/7 29% Official speeches / ceremonies5/245 2% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore24¢ All1/9 11% Speeches / ceremonies0/6 0% Official speeches / ceremonies16/245 7% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore43¢ All12/25 48% Speeches / ceremonies6/15 40% Official speeches / ceremonies77/245 31% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore39¢ All7/11 64% Speeches / ceremonies6/10 60% Official speeches / ceremonies25/245 10% Y N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore50¢ All3/8 38% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n Official speeches / ceremonies35/245 14% N Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore27¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies20/245 8% —
YES Before startBefore40¢ All44/74 59% Speeches / ceremonies33/45 73% Official speeches / ceremonies89/245 36% Y N Y N N
NO Before startBefore34¢ All13/23 57% Speeches / ceremonies9/15 60% Official speeches / ceremonies84/245 34% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore60¢ All4/7 57% Speeches / ceremonies2/5 40% Official speeches / ceremonies105/245 43% Y N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore28¢ All0/14 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/8 0% Official speeches / ceremonies3/245 1% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore52¢ All27/40 68% Speeches / ceremonies16/24 67% Official speeches / ceremonies77/245 31% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore39¢ All13/25 52% Speeches / ceremonies8/15 53% Official speeches / ceremonies113/245 46% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore75¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies162/245 66% —
YES Before startBefore59¢ All50/66 76% Speeches / ceremonies31/39 79% Official speeches / ceremonies134/245 55% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore10¢ All2/4 50% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies4/245 2% N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore12¢ All1/12 8% Speeches / ceremonies0/8 0% Official speeches / ceremonies41/245 17% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore62¢ All32/35 91% Speeches / ceremonies22/24 92% Official speeches / ceremonies134/245 55% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore37¢ All13/26 50% Speeches / ceremonies7/18 39% Official speeches / ceremonies95/245 39% N N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore13¢ All3/20 15% Speeches / ceremonies1/13 8% Official speeches / ceremonies30/245 12% N N N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Announcement on December 22nd, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Announcement on December 22nd will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Announcement on December 22nd will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count. Previous recordings aired during this event will not count.