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Trump holds Bilateral meetings in Turkey

What will Trump say during his Bilateral meetings in Turkey?

Held

Wed, Jul 8

7:30 AM ET /

Trump

Meeting

2 official transcripts
Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now JD Vance +1 later

7 said 20 not said of 27 words

Not held 24 of 265 past Trump events, 9 of 46 meetings

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Meetings Official meetings · 106 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore18¢ All38/88 43% Meetings4/12 33% Official meetings30/106 28% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore8¢ All15/36 42% Meetings2/3 67% small n Official meetings15/106 14% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore47¢ All4/19 21% Meetings1/4 25% small n Official meetings9/106 8% N Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore54¢ All162/218 74% Meetings28/35 80% Official meetings69/106 65% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore48¢ All8/42 19% Meetings2/10 20% Official meetings15/106 14% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore57¢ All18/23 78% Meetings3/3 100% small n Official meetings65/106 61% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore32¢ All10/21 48% Meetings1/4 25% small n Official meetings9/106 8% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore3¢ All7/156 4% Meetings0/24 0% Official meetings1/106 1% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore49¢ All8/25 32% Meetings3/7 43% Official meetings13/106 12% Y N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore49¢ All61/89 69% Meetings11/17 65% Official meetings59/106 56% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore18¢ All0/2 0% Meetings— Official meetings25/106 24% N N
NO Before startBefore56¢ All14/41 34% Meetings2/10 20% Official meetings3/106 3% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore31¢ All106/193 55% Meetings12/32 38% Official meetings21/106 20% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore49¢ All7/7 100% Meetings1/1 100% small n Official meetings22/106 21% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore45¢ All27/51 53% Meetings6/10 60% Official meetings38/106 36% Y N N Y N
NO Before startBefore52¢ All12/25 48% Meetings3/8 38% Official meetings31/106 29% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore57¢ All27/45 60% Meetings1/5 20% Official meetings49/106 46% N N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore14¢ All1/3 33% Meetings0/1 0% small n Official meetings24/106 23% N N Y
NO Before startBefore47¢ All16/30 53% Meetings2/4 50% small n Official meetings46/106 43% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore43¢ All17/38 45% Meetings6/12 50% Official meetings49/106 46% Y N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore19¢ All10/21 48% Meetings1/1 100% small n Official meetings12/106 11% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore42¢ All— Meetings— Official meetings9/106 8% —
NO Before startBefore22¢ All57/95 60% Meetings6/13 46% Official meetings19/106 18% N Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore49¢ All96/141 68% Meetings20/29 69% Official meetings60/106 57% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore28¢ All6/15 40% Meetings0/4 0% small n Official meetings11/106 10% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore5¢ All23/67 34% Meetings1/4 25% small n Official meetings15/106 14% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore16¢ All6/29 21% Meetings1/6 17% Official meetings8/106 8% N Y N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official meetings: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Meetings. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Bilateral Meetings in Turkey on July 8th, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Bilateral Meetings in Turkey on July 8th will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Bilateral Meetings in Turkey on July 8th will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker