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Trump holds Tele-Rally with Darline Graham

What will Trump say during his tele-rally with Darline Graham?

Held

Thu, Oct 15

6:00 PM ET /

Trump

Tele-rally

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump +1 later

10 said 14 not said of 24 words

Not held 27 of 353 past Trump events, 0 of 20 tele-rallies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Tele-rallies Official tele-rallies · 24 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore49¢ All29/97 30% Tele-rallies1/15 7% Official tele-rallies4/24 17% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore7¢ All59/167 35% Tele-rallies0/14 0% Official tele-rallies0/24 0% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore18¢ All25/85 29% Tele-rallies9/15 60% Official tele-rallies8/24 33% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore59¢ All210/290 72% Tele-rallies14/20 70% Official tele-rallies15/24 63% N Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore86¢ All59/87 68% Tele-rallies6/6 100% Official tele-rallies21/24 88% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore18¢ All62/95 65% Tele-rallies1/8 13% Official tele-rallies2/24 8% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore39¢ All34/72 47% Tele-rallies4/12 33% Official tele-rallies7/24 29% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore1¢ All9/229 4% Tele-rallies0/13 0% Official tele-rallies0/24 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore74¢ All132/194 68% Tele-rallies14/19 74% Official tele-rallies18/24 75% Y N N N Y
YES Before startBefore92¢ All13/17 76% Tele-rallies7/7 100% Official tele-rallies22/24 92% Y Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore74¢ All26/79 33% Tele-rallies3/14 21% Official tele-rallies4/24 17% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore19¢ All134/260 52% Tele-rallies3/19 16% Official tele-rallies3/24 13% N Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore49¢ All21/35 60% Tele-rallies3/9 33% Official tele-rallies7/24 29% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore69¢ All21/49 43% Tele-rallies6/16 38% Official tele-rallies7/24 29% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore79¢ All2/2 100% Tele-rallies— Official tele-rallies15/24 63% Y Y
YES Before startBefore50¢ All76/115 66% Tele-rallies4/15 27% Official tele-rallies10/24 42% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore63¢ All45/91 49% Tele-rallies8/16 50% Official tele-rallies12/24 50% N N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore85¢ All36/64 56% Tele-rallies10/14 71% Official tele-rallies9/24 38% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore95¢ All2/2 100% Tele-rallies2/2 100% small n Official tele-rallies17/24 71% Y Y
NO Before startBefore65¢ All83/163 51% Tele-rallies4/16 25% Official tele-rallies6/24 25% Y Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore15¢ All129/199 65% Tele-rallies1/11 9% Official tele-rallies2/24 8% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore49¢ All1/1 100% Tele-rallies— Official tele-rallies11/24 46% Y
YES Before startBefore78¢ All51/124 41% Tele-rallies6/16 38% Official tele-rallies13/24 54% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore6¢ All31/67 46% Tele-rallies0/1 0% small n Official tele-rallies0/24 0% N N N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official tele-rallies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Tele-rallies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of tele-rally with Darline Graham originally scheduled for October 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the tele-rally with Darline Graham originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the tele-rally with Darline Graham originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Additional content not included in the original call will not count.
The entirety of content within the original call will be used for resolution.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker