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Trump signs Bill to Reopen the Government

What will Trump say during the Bill Signing?

Held

Tue, Feb 3

4:25 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks on Signing the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2026, and an Exchange With Reporters

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now +1 later

7 said 13 not said of 20 words

Not held 14 of 149 past Trump events, 7 of 85 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 262 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore— All18/43 42% Speeches / ceremonies10/23 43% Official speeches / ceremonies28/262 11% N N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore— All7/19 37% Speeches / ceremonies6/12 50% Official speeches / ceremonies48/262 18% Y Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore— All97/122 80% Speeches / ceremonies54/70 77% Official speeches / ceremonies169/262 65% Y N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore— All43/66 65% Speeches / ceremonies25/38 66% Official speeches / ceremonies143/262 55% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All53/78 68% Speeches / ceremonies35/50 70% Official speeches / ceremonies140/262 53% N Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore— All1/3 33% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies39/262 15% N N Y
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies11/262 4% —
NO Before startBefore— All3/63 5% Speeches / ceremonies3/38 8% Official speeches / ceremonies14/262 5% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore— All48/63 76% Speeches / ceremonies27/36 75% Official speeches / ceremonies137/262 52% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore— All20/31 65% Speeches / ceremonies11/18 61% Official speeches / ceremonies32/262 12% N Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore— All2/18 11% Speeches / ceremonies0/11 0% Official speeches / ceremonies3/262 1% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore— All3/5 60% Speeches / ceremonies2/2 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies14/262 5% N Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore— All57/96 59% Speeches / ceremonies40/54 74% Official speeches / ceremonies99/262 38% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore— All6/16 38% Speeches / ceremonies1/9 11% Official speeches / ceremonies80/262 31% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore— All11/18 61% Speeches / ceremonies7/11 64% Official speeches / ceremonies119/262 45% N Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All2/3 67% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies64/262 24% Y Y N
NO Before startBefore— All5/17 29% Speeches / ceremonies2/11 18% Official speeches / ceremonies15/262 6% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore— All59/79 75% Speeches / ceremonies36/45 80% Official speeches / ceremonies147/262 56% Y Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore— All45/52 87% Speeches / ceremonies30/32 94% Official speeches / ceremonies147/262 56% Y Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore— All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies26/262 10% Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

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Special for this event

  • Plural nouns used as or within a proper nouns (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Bill Signing on February 3rd, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Bill Signing on February 3rd will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Bill Signing on February 3rd will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Plural nouns used as or within a proper nouns (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included. Please see full rules for more details. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count. If this event is not opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event this market will resolve to no.

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