mentions

Trump holds tele-rally with John McGuire

What will Trump say during his tele-rally with John McGuire?

Held

Thu, Sep 17

6:00 PM ET /

Trump

Tele-rally

Official transcript Remarks During a Telerally for Virginia Republican Congressional Candidates Representatives Robert J. Wittman, Jennifer Kiggans, and John McGuire

Transcribe Kalshi Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump +2 later

8 said 16 not said of 24 words

Not held 27 of 326 past Trump events, 0 of 18 tele-rallies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Tele-rallies Official tele-rallies · 23 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore— All19/80 24% Tele-rallies1/13 8% Official tele-rallies4/23 17% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore— All51/142 36% Tele-rallies0/12 0% Official tele-rallies0/23 0% N Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore— All21/72 29% Tele-rallies7/13 54% Official tele-rallies7/23 30% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore— All200/273 73% Tele-rallies12/18 67% Official tele-rallies14/23 61% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All44/71 62% Tele-rallies1/6 17% Official tele-rallies2/23 9% Y Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore— All32/67 48% Tele-rallies4/10 40% Official tele-rallies7/23 30% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All0/3 0% Tele-rallies— Official tele-rallies0/23 0% N N N
YES Before startBefore— All129/188 69% Tele-rallies12/17 71% Official tele-rallies17/23 74% Y N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore— All11/15 73% Tele-rallies5/5 100% Official tele-rallies21/23 91% Y N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All21/70 30% Tele-rallies3/12 25% Official tele-rallies4/23 17% Y Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore— All127/246 52% Tele-rallies3/17 18% Official tele-rallies3/23 13% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore— All16/25 64% Tele-rallies3/7 43% Official tele-rallies7/23 30% Y N Y N N
NO Before startBefore— All20/42 48% Tele-rallies6/14 43% Official tele-rallies7/23 30% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore— All2/5 40% Tele-rallies0/1 0% small n Official tele-rallies1/23 4% N Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore— All4/4 100% Tele-rallies— Official tele-rallies13/23 57% Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All57/91 63% Tele-rallies4/13 31% Official tele-rallies10/23 43% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All0/3 0% Tele-rallies— Official tele-rallies3/23 13% N N N
YES Before startBefore— All43/87 49% Tele-rallies6/14 43% Official tele-rallies11/23 48% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore— All24/50 48% Tele-rallies8/12 67% Official tele-rallies8/23 35% Y Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore— All— Tele-rallies— Official tele-rallies16/23 70% —
NO Before startBefore— All78/148 53% Tele-rallies4/14 29% Official tele-rallies6/23 26% Y Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore— All121/183 66% Tele-rallies1/9 11% Official tele-rallies2/23 9% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All41/112 37% Tele-rallies6/14 43% Official tele-rallies13/23 57% Y Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore— All3/7 43% Tele-rallies— Official tele-rallies3/23 13% N N N N Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official tele-rallies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Tele-rallies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of tele-rally with John McGuire originally scheduled for September 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the tele-rally with John McGuire originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the tele-rally with John McGuire originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Additional content not included in the original call will not count.
The entirety of content within the original call will be used for resolution.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker