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Trump holds signing time

What will Trump say during his announcement?

Held

Thu, Aug 6

4:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks Following a Document Signing Ceremony on Semiconductor Supply and Citizenship and Immigration and an Exchange With Reporters

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now +1 later

6 said 23 not said of 29 words

Not held 26 of 295 past Trump events, 11 of 166 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 371 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore30¢ All27/50 54% Speeches / ceremonies20/29 69% Official speeches / ceremonies104/371 28% Y N N Y N
NO Before startBefore16¢ All11/53 21% Speeches / ceremonies11/32 34% Official speeches / ceremonies61/371 16% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore44¢ All45/114 39% Speeches / ceremonies31/63 49% Official speeches / ceremonies115/371 31% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore40¢ All3/9 33% Speeches / ceremonies2/7 29% Official speeches / ceremonies66/371 18% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore17¢ All17/49 35% Speeches / ceremonies9/30 30% Official speeches / ceremonies49/371 13% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore45¢ All20/53 38% Speeches / ceremonies15/41 37% Official speeches / ceremonies51/371 14% Y N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore32¢ All23/55 42% Speeches / ceremonies16/32 50% Official speeches / ceremonies45/371 12% Y N Y N N
YES Before startBefore76¢ All183/244 75% Speeches / ceremonies103/140 74% Official speeches / ceremonies238/371 64% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore68¢ All30/44 68% Speeches / ceremonies20/27 74% Official speeches / ceremonies197/371 53% Y Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore51¢ All19/44 43% Speeches / ceremonies12/22 55% Official speeches / ceremonies49/371 13% Y Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore2¢ All8/182 4% Speeches / ceremonies7/108 6% Official speeches / ceremonies19/371 5% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore11¢ All3/8 38% Speeches / ceremonies1/5 20% Official speeches / ceremonies21/371 6% N N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore61¢ All69/103 67% Speeches / ceremonies45/66 68% Official speeches / ceremonies222/371 60% N Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore45¢ All48/83 58% Speeches / ceremonies28/48 58% Official speeches / ceremonies134/371 36% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore30¢ All21/35 60% Speeches / ceremonies14/21 67% Official speeches / ceremonies160/371 43% Y N N Y N
NO Before startBefore20¢ All16/50 32% Speeches / ceremonies12/29 41% Official speeches / ceremonies66/371 18% Y N N Y N
YES Before startBefore18¢ All6/11 55% Speeches / ceremonies4/9 44% Official speeches / ceremonies56/371 15% N Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore39¢ All16/58 28% Speeches / ceremonies6/28 21% Official speeches / ceremonies25/371 7% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore57¢ All117/219 53% Speeches / ceremonies85/127 67% Official speeches / ceremonies151/371 41% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore66¢ All33/41 80% Speeches / ceremonies16/22 73% Official speeches / ceremonies102/371 27% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore40¢ All39/73 53% Speeches / ceremonies17/42 40% Official speeches / ceremonies106/371 29% Y N N Y N
YES Before startBefore28¢ All15/35 43% Speeches / ceremonies5/14 36% Official speeches / ceremonies86/371 23% N Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore67¢ All36/62 58% Speeches / ceremonies20/30 67% Official speeches / ceremonies181/371 49% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore45¢ All64/122 52% Speeches / ceremonies37/69 54% Official speeches / ceremonies104/371 28% Y Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore59¢ All19/53 36% Speeches / ceremonies15/36 42% Official speeches / ceremonies81/371 22% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore60¢ All108/160 68% Speeches / ceremonies69/96 72% Official speeches / ceremonies202/371 54% Y Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore33¢ All31/91 34% Speeches / ceremonies19/57 33% Official speeches / ceremonies81/371 22% Y N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore44¢ All29/45 64% Speeches / ceremonies19/25 76% Official speeches / ceremonies214/371 58% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore13¢ All7/36 19% Speeches / ceremonies5/22 23% Official speeches / ceremonies54/371 15% N N Y N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Special for this event

  • For the purposes of this market, “next White House livestream” refers to the first livestream on the White House main YouTube channel (@WhiteHouse) after August 4th, 2026 at 10:00 am ET (excluding Remarks in Las Vegas, Nevada).

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of next White House livestream (excluding Remarks in Las Vegas, Nevada), then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the next White House livestream (excluding Remarks in Las Vegas, Nevada) will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the next White House livestream (excluding Remarks in Las Vegas, Nevada) will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
For the purposes of this market, “next White House livestream” refers to the first livestream on the White House main YouTube channel (@WhiteHouse) after August 4th, 2026 at 10:00 am ET (excluding Remarks in Las Vegas, Nevada). The livestream will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is present during a livestream, but does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Additional source agency streams can be used in the event of technical outages or if the White House ends the stream prior to the conclusion of the event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Cases

All cases of this speaker