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Trump signs Executive Orders

What will Trump say during his Executive Orders signing?

Held

Tue, Mar 31

5:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks on Signing an Executive Order on Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections and an Exchange With Reporters

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now JD Vance +1 later

12 said 20 not said of 32 words

Not held 16 of 187 past Trump events, 8 of 112 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 296 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore24¢ All1/6 17% Speeches / ceremonies1/4 25% small n Official speeches / ceremonies45/296 15% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore10¢ All20/40 50% Speeches / ceremonies16/27 59% Official speeches / ceremonies91/296 31% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore32¢ All7/20 35% Speeches / ceremonies6/13 46% Official speeches / ceremonies54/296 18% N Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore75¢ All8/25 32% Speeches / ceremonies6/20 30% Official speeches / ceremonies28/296 9% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore80¢ All118/154 77% Speeches / ceremonies69/93 74% Official speeches / ceremonies190/296 64% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore49¢ All2/2 100% Speeches / ceremonies2/2 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies64/296 22% Y Y
YES Before startBefore56¢ All64/95 67% Speeches / ceremonies40/61 66% Official speeches / ceremonies154/296 52% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore6¢ All5/94 5% Speeches / ceremonies5/61 8% Official speeches / ceremonies16/296 5% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore51¢ All3/6 50% Speeches / ceremonies2/4 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies10/296 3% Y N Y N N
YES Before startBefore90¢ All66/88 75% Speeches / ceremonies37/53 70% Official speeches / ceremonies160/296 54% Y Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore39¢ All2/14 14% Speeches / ceremonies0/8 0% Official speeches / ceremonies25/296 8% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore44¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies8/296 3% N
NO Before startBefore63¢ All4/13 31% Speeches / ceremonies4/8 50% Official speeches / ceremonies55/296 19% N Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore10¢ All12/17 71% Speeches / ceremonies9/12 75% Official speeches / ceremonies45/296 15% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore55¢ All2/11 18% Speeches / ceremonies1/8 13% Official speeches / ceremonies3/296 1% Y N Y N N
NO Before startBefore22¢ All71/128 55% Speeches / ceremonies51/78 65% Official speeches / ceremonies112/296 38% Y N N N Y
YES Before startBefore91¢ All6/7 86% Speeches / ceremonies4/5 80% Official speeches / ceremonies31/296 10% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore70¢ All2/2 100% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies58/296 20% Y Y
NO Before startBefore51¢ All5/9 56% Speeches / ceremonies3/7 43% Official speeches / ceremonies81/296 27% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore33¢ All4/10 40% Speeches / ceremonies2/8 25% Official speeches / ceremonies72/296 24% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore13¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies24/296 8% N
NO Before startBefore43¢ All14/24 58% Speeches / ceremonies3/11 27% Official speeches / ceremonies59/296 20% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore70¢ All16/37 43% Speeches / ceremonies8/22 36% Official speeches / ceremonies99/296 33% Y N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore11¢ All2/3 67% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies24/296 8% Y N Y
NO Before startBefore46¢ All22/46 48% Speeches / ceremonies12/27 44% Official speeches / ceremonies73/296 25% Y N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore84¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies13/296 4% N N
NO Before startBefore64¢ All20/59 34% Speeches / ceremonies9/31 29% Official speeches / ceremonies39/296 13% N N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore53¢ All9/23 39% Speeches / ceremonies6/17 35% Official speeches / ceremonies61/296 21% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore37¢ All75/104 72% Speeches / ceremonies48/62 77% Official speeches / ceremonies166/296 56% Y Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore67¢ All7/25 28% Speeches / ceremonies5/18 28% Official speeches / ceremonies58/296 20% N Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore48¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies3/296 1% N
NO Before startBefore34¢ All1/4 25% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n Official speeches / ceremonies37/296 13% N Y N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of THE PRESIDENT signs an Executive Order, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the THE PRESIDENT signs an Executive Order will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the THE PRESIDENT signs an Executive Order will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker