mentions

Trump holds meeting with Netanyahu

What will Trump say during his meeting with Netanyahu?

Not held (DNQ)

Tue, Jul 28

11:00 AM ET /

Trump

Meeting

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Also now Trump +2 later

0 said 32 not said of 32 words

Not held 25 of 285 past Trump events, 10 of 49 meetings

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Meetings Official meetings · 109 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore25¢ All10/45 22% Meetings0/4 0% small n Official meetings11/109 10% Y N Y N N
NO Before startBefore9¢ All43/105 41% Meetings5/14 36% Official meetings31/109 28% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore14¢ All14/40 35% Meetings— Official meetings4/109 4% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore29¢ All21/50 42% Meetings2/4 50% small n Official meetings15/109 14% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore32¢ All176/236 75% Meetings30/37 81% Official meetings71/109 65% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore28¢ All5/12 42% Meetings0/1 0% small n Official meetings4/109 4% N Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore11¢ All8/56 14% Meetings2/12 17% Official meetings15/109 14% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore15¢ All2/2 100% Meetings— Official meetings14/109 13% Y Y
NO Before startBefore35¢ All26/36 72% Meetings3/4 75% small n Official meetings66/109 61% N Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore11¢ All— Meetings— Official meetings10/109 9% —
NO Before startBefore12¢ All14/35 40% Meetings1/6 17% Official meetings9/109 8% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore1¢ All8/174 5% Meetings0/25 0% Official meetings1/109 1% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore34¢ All14/15 93% Meetings5/5 100% Official meetings89/109 82% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore37¢ All44/76 58% Meetings4/8 50% Official meetings34/109 31% N Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore28¢ All— Meetings— Official meetings27/109 25% —
NO Before startBefore28¢ All9/14 64% Meetings4/7 57% Official meetings25/109 23% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore23¢ All115/210 55% Meetings12/33 36% Official meetings21/109 19% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore20¢ All8/12 67% Meetings2/2 100% small n Official meetings25/109 23% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore23¢ All0/3 0% Meetings0/2 0% small n Official meetings8/109 7% N N N
NO Before startBefore29¢ All21/47 45% Meetings8/12 67% Official meetings48/109 44% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore27¢ All14/33 42% Meetings3/9 33% Official meetings31/109 28% Y N N N Y
NO Before startBefore16¢ All56/84 67% Meetings14/16 88% Official meetings44/109 40% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore30¢ All2/8 25% Meetings1/1 100% small n Official meetings11/109 10% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore24¢ All30/64 47% Meetings3/7 43% Official meetings15/109 14% Y N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore18¢ All3/4 75% Meetings— Official meetings26/109 24% Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore33¢ All2/5 40% Meetings1/1 100% small n Official meetings6/109 6% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore22¢ All61/113 54% Meetings6/14 43% Official meetings19/109 17% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore18¢ All103/151 68% Meetings20/30 67% Official meetings61/109 56% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore24¢ All6/16 38% Meetings0/5 0% Official meetings11/109 10% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore2¢ All27/83 33% Meetings1/5 20% Official meetings15/109 14% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore15¢ All24/32 75% Meetings1/2 50% small n Official meetings26/109 24% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore20¢ All0/9 0% Meetings— Official meetings1/109 1% N N N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official meetings: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Meetings. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

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Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of THE PRESIDENT meets with the Prime Minister of the State of Israel, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the THE PRESIDENT meets with the Prime Minister of the State of Israel will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the THE PRESIDENT meets with the Prime Minister of the State of Israel will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify — Donald Trump must be speaking in an official capacity for the Contract to resolve Yes (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, or unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic, do not qualify).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker