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Trump delivers remarks with Xi Jinping

What will Trump say during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping?

Held

Thu, Sep 24

7:45 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks at a State Dinner Honoring President Xi Jinping of China

Also now +1 later

2 said 28 not said of 30 words

Not held 27 of 334 past Trump events, 12 of 189 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 395 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore26¢ All52/149 35% Speeches / ceremonies36/83 43% Official speeches / ceremonies122/395 31% N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore30¢ All21/60 35% Speeches / ceremonies16/48 33% Official speeches / ceremonies57/395 14% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore8¢ All205/281 73% Speeches / ceremonies115/161 71% Official speeches / ceremonies251/395 64% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore29¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies279/395 71% N Y
NO Before startBefore6¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies28/395 7% N
NO Before startBefore40¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies68/395 17% N
NO Before startBefore1¢ All0/5 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies19/395 5% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore37¢ All8/9 89% Speeches / ceremonies4/5 80% Official speeches / ceremonies292/395 74% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore22¢ All3/5 60% Speeches / ceremonies2/4 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies166/395 42% N Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore5¢ All60/111 54% Speeches / ceremonies35/63 56% Official speeches / ceremonies144/395 36% N Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore33¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies87/395 22% Y
NO Before startBefore15¢ All25/43 58% Speeches / ceremonies17/27 63% Official speeches / ceremonies174/395 44% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore13¢ All128/251 51% Speeches / ceremonies92/144 64% Official speeches / ceremonies160/395 41% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore32¢ All14/18 78% Speeches / ceremonies8/10 80% Official speeches / ceremonies191/395 48% N Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore20¢ All17/29 59% Speeches / ceremonies11/15 73% Official speeches / ceremonies183/395 46% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore12¢ All4/9 44% Speeches / ceremonies4/8 50% Official speeches / ceremonies71/395 18% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore68¢ All4/11 36% Speeches / ceremonies4/8 50% Official speeches / ceremonies46/395 12% Y N N Y N
NO Before startBefore3¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies5/395 1% N
NO Before startBefore18¢ All92/129 71% Speeches / ceremonies48/73 66% Official speeches / ceremonies167/395 42% N Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore16¢ All61/99 62% Speeches / ceremonies33/51 65% Official speeches / ceremonies196/395 50% N Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore2¢ All2/11 18% Speeches / ceremonies1/7 14% Official speeches / ceremonies32/395 8% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore6¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies38/395 10% Y
NO Before startBefore8¢ All0/4 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/3 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies30/395 8% N N N N
NO Before startBefore6¢ All15/23 65% Speeches / ceremonies7/10 70% Official speeches / ceremonies161/395 41% N Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore10¢ All5/11 45% Speeches / ceremonies3/6 50% Official speeches / ceremonies10/395 3% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore9¢ All80/156 51% Speeches / ceremonies45/87 52% Official speeches / ceremonies114/395 29% N Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore4¢ All2/15 13% Speeches / ceremonies1/7 14% Official speeches / ceremonies25/395 6% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore19¢ All124/191 65% Speeches / ceremonies79/113 70% Official speeches / ceremonies217/395 55% N Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore4¢ All31/65 48% Speeches / ceremonies13/36 36% Official speeches / ceremonies118/395 30% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore6¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies90/395 23% N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of evening remarks originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 in the East Room, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the evening remarks originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 in the East Room using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the evening remarks originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 in the East Room will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.