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Trump delivers remarks at the Lincoln Memorial

What will Trump say during his remarks at the Lincoln Memorial?

Held

Today

2:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now ABC World News +1 later

15 said 14 not said of 29 words

Not held 27 of 374 past Trump events, 12 of 201 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 403 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore69¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies4/403 1% N
NO Before startBefore13¢ All61/188 32% Speeches / ceremonies39/94 41% Official speeches / ceremonies123/403 31% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore75¢ All3/5 60% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n Official speeches / ceremonies36/403 9% Y Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore68¢ All22/61 36% Speeches / ceremonies17/49 35% Official speeches / ceremonies59/403 15% Y N N N Y
YES Before startBefore79¢ All213/294 72% Speeches / ceremonies122/173 71% Official speeches / ceremonies253/403 63% Y Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore77¢ All27/45 60% Speeches / ceremonies6/8 75% Official speeches / ceremonies70/403 17% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore63¢ All75/110 68% Speeches / ceremonies40/57 70% Official speeches / ceremonies215/403 53% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore89¢ All3/7 43% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n Official speeches / ceremonies146/403 36% N Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore2¢ All9/250 4% Speeches / ceremonies7/135 5% Official speeches / ceremonies19/403 5% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore94¢ All133/195 68% Speeches / ceremonies70/109 64% Official speeches / ceremonies214/403 53% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore77¢ All69/122 57% Speeches / ceremonies38/68 56% Official speeches / ceremonies148/403 37% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore50¢ All8/9 89% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies18/403 4% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore80¢ All22/37 59% Speeches / ceremonies15/22 68% Official speeches / ceremonies186/403 46% N Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore73¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies34/403 8% —
YES Before startBefore87¢ All5/15 33% Speeches / ceremonies5/10 50% Official speeches / ceremonies54/403 13% N Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore71¢ All3/6 50% Speeches / ceremonies2/5 40% Official speeches / ceremonies109/403 27% N N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore84¢ All80/120 67% Speeches / ceremonies40/60 67% Official speeches / ceremonies199/403 49% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore84¢ All46/92 50% Speeches / ceremonies28/52 54% Official speeches / ceremonies106/403 26% Y N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore45¢ All0/8 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/5 0% Official speeches / ceremonies43/403 11% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore64¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies25/403 6% Y N
NO Before startBefore82¢ All88/172 51% Speeches / ceremonies48/97 49% Official speeches / ceremonies115/403 29% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore31¢ All43/93 46% Speeches / ceremonies21/48 44% Official speeches / ceremonies89/403 22% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore31¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/403 0% N
YES Before startBefore85¢ All129/203 64% Speeches / ceremonies84/124 68% Official speeches / ceremonies219/403 54% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore34¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies45/403 11% Y N
YES Before startBefore83¢ All60/133 45% Speeches / ceremonies24/68 35% Official speeches / ceremonies88/403 22% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore11¢ All2/29 7% Speeches / ceremonies2/6 33% Official speeches / ceremonies24/403 6% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore11¢ All2/12 17% Speeches / ceremonies1/6 17% Official speeches / ceremonies19/403 5% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore85¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies5/403 1% —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of remarks at the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool originally scheduled for November 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the remarks at the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the remarks at the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker