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Trump delivers remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company

What will Trump say during his remarks at Peterbilt Motors?

Held

Thu, Oct 1

4:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now JD Vance

16 said 12 not said of 28 words

Not held 27 of 339 past Trump events, 12 of 194 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 403 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore21¢ All54/154 35% Speeches / ceremonies38/88 43% Official speeches / ceremonies123/403 31% Y N Y N N
YES Before startBefore88¢ All208/286 73% Speeches / ceremonies118/166 71% Official speeches / ceremonies253/403 63% Y Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore95¢ All1/3 33% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies282/403 70% N N Y
NO Before startBefore15¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies5/403 1% N Y
YES Before startBefore25¢ All2/7 29% Speeches / ceremonies2/5 40% Official speeches / ceremonies97/403 24% N N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore57¢ All2/5 40% Speeches / ceremonies2/4 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies111/403 28% N N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore34¢ All8/25 32% Speeches / ceremonies5/7 71% Official speeches / ceremonies70/403 17% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore84¢ All51/82 62% Speeches / ceremonies34/51 67% Official speeches / ceremonies215/403 53% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore2¢ All9/217 4% Speeches / ceremonies7/130 5% Official speeches / ceremonies19/403 5% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore70¢ All3/4 75% Speeches / ceremonies2/3 67% small n Official speeches / ceremonies5/403 1% Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore66¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies24/403 6% N
NO Before startBefore19¢ All2/16 13% Speeches / ceremonies1/14 7% Official speeches / ceremonies43/403 11% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore16¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies15/403 4% —
NO Before startBefore14¢ All6/30 20% Speeches / ceremonies3/21 14% Official speeches / ceremonies24/403 6% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore78¢ All132/256 52% Speeches / ceremonies96/149 64% Official speeches / ceremonies163/403 40% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore50¢ All8/10 80% Speeches / ceremonies6/8 75% Official speeches / ceremonies62/403 15% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore78¢ All23/43 53% Speeches / ceremonies16/26 62% Official speeches / ceremonies142/403 35% Y Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore95¢ All16/22 73% Speeches / ceremonies10/14 71% Official speeches / ceremonies193/403 48% Y N Y N N
YES Before startBefore88¢ All19/32 59% Speeches / ceremonies13/18 72% Official speeches / ceremonies186/403 46% Y Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore51¢ All1/6 17% Speeches / ceremonies1/5 20% Official speeches / ceremonies38/403 9% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore91¢ All4/12 33% Speeches / ceremonies4/11 36% Official speeches / ceremonies72/403 18% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore57¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies115/403 29% Y
YES Before startBefore90¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies80/403 20% —
YES Before startBefore80¢ All95/133 71% Speeches / ceremonies51/77 66% Official speeches / ceremonies169/403 42% Y Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore95¢ All65/104 63% Speeches / ceremonies37/56 66% Official speeches / ceremonies199/403 49% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore34¢ All26/52 50% Speeches / ceremonies9/21 43% Official speeches / ceremonies41/403 10% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore79¢ All80/160 50% Speeches / ceremonies45/91 49% Official speeches / ceremonies115/403 29% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore96¢ All126/195 65% Speeches / ceremonies81/117 69% Official speeches / ceremonies219/403 54% Y N Y N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company in Denton, Texas originally scheduled for October 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company in Denton, Texas originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company in Denton, Texas originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker