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Trump holds roundtable on American Mining

What will Trump say during his roundtable on American Mining?

Held

Fri, Aug 7

3:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks During a Roundtable Discussion on United States Mining at the Department of State

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now JD Vance +1 later

15 said 23 not said of 38 words

Not held 26 of 299 past Trump events, 11 of 168 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 373 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore61¢ All46/118 39% Speeches / ceremonies31/65 48% Official speeches / ceremonies115/373 31% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore53¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies34/373 9% N Y
YES Before startBefore97¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies311/373 83% Y
NO Before startBefore32¢ All23/57 40% Speeches / ceremonies16/33 48% Official speeches / ceremonies45/373 12% N N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore88¢ All186/248 75% Speeches / ceremonies104/142 73% Official speeches / ceremonies239/373 64% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore37¢ All3/7 43% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n Official speeches / ceremonies103/373 28% N Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore8¢ All8/60 13% Speeches / ceremonies2/27 7% Official speeches / ceremonies30/373 8% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore94¢ All31/48 65% Speeches / ceremonies20/29 69% Official speeches / ceremonies197/373 53% Y N N N Y
YES Before startBefore87¢ All3/5 60% Speeches / ceremonies2/4 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies32/373 9% Y N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore85¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies9/373 2% N N
NO Before startBefore4¢ All9/186 5% Speeches / ceremonies7/110 6% Official speeches / ceremonies19/373 5% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore74¢ All2/5 40% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies96/373 26% N N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore31¢ All8/26 31% Speeches / ceremonies5/19 26% Official speeches / ceremonies35/373 9% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore25¢ All12/35 34% Speeches / ceremonies3/15 20% Official speeches / ceremonies47/373 13% Y Y N N N
YES Before startBefore92¢ All17/22 77% Speeches / ceremonies9/9 100% Official speeches / ceremonies146/373 39% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore51¢ All1/4 25% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies67/373 18% Y N N N
NO Before startBefore44¢ All8/13 62% Speeches / ceremonies6/11 55% Official speeches / ceremonies58/373 16% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore40¢ All4/7 57% Speeches / ceremonies4/7 57% Official speeches / ceremonies34/373 9% N Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore74¢ All119/223 53% Speeches / ceremonies86/129 67% Official speeches / ceremonies152/373 41% N Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore87¢ All10/11 91% Speeches / ceremonies5/5 100% Official speeches / ceremonies177/373 47% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore43¢ All33/43 77% Speeches / ceremonies16/23 70% Official speeches / ceremonies102/373 27% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore54¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies1/373 0% N
NO Before startBefore30¢ All1/3 33% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies37/373 10% Y N N
YES Before startBefore55¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies9/373 2% N
NO Before startBefore72¢ All8/22 36% Speeches / ceremonies7/15 47% Official speeches / ceremonies59/373 16% Y Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore69¢ All5/11 45% Speeches / ceremonies4/10 40% Official speeches / ceremonies43/373 12% Y N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore73¢ All87/119 73% Speeches / ceremonies45/66 68% Official speeches / ceremonies154/373 41% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore86¢ All39/66 59% Speeches / ceremonies21/32 66% Official speeches / ceremonies182/373 49% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore72¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies37/373 10% —
YES Before startBefore96¢ All11/34 32% Speeches / ceremonies5/18 28% Official speeches / ceremonies44/373 12% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore64¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies69/373 18% —
YES Before startBefore41¢ All5/6 83% Speeches / ceremonies3/4 75% small n Official speeches / ceremonies84/373 23% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore68¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies5/373 1% —
NO Before startBefore17¢ All2/11 18% Speeches / ceremonies1/5 20% Official speeches / ceremonies24/373 6% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore79¢ All110/164 67% Speeches / ceremonies70/98 71% Official speeches / ceremonies203/373 54% Y N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore37¢ All29/58 50% Speeches / ceremonies13/33 39% Official speeches / ceremonies115/373 31% N Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore23¢ All0/8 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/3 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies3/373 1% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore42¢ All8/23 35% Speeches / ceremonies5/16 31% Official speeches / ceremonies26/373 7% Y N Y Y N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Roundtable on American Mining, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Roundtable on American Mining will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Roundtable on American Mining will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify — Donald Trump must be speaking in an official capacity for the Contract to resolve Yes (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, or unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic, do not qualify).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker