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Trump delivers remarks at NASA

What will Trump say during remarks at NASA?

Held

Fri, Aug 28

11:00 AM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks on Presenting the Congressional Space Medal of Honor in Houston, Texas

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now +1 later

11 said 23 not said of 34 words

Not held 27 of 312 past Trump events, 12 of 175 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 380 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore14¢ All16/68 24% Speeches / ceremonies13/39 33% Official speeches / ceremonies63/380 17% Y Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore35¢ All49/130 38% Speeches / ceremonies34/71 48% Official speeches / ceremonies118/380 31% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore16¢ All3/11 27% Speeches / ceremonies2/9 22% Official speeches / ceremonies67/380 18% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore84¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies2/380 1% N Y
NO Before startBefore34¢ All192/260 74% Speeches / ceremonies107/148 72% Official speeches / ceremonies242/380 64% N N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore57¢ All38/59 64% Speeches / ceremonies24/35 69% Official speeches / ceremonies202/380 53% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore1¢ All9/198 5% Speeches / ceremonies7/116 6% Official speeches / ceremonies19/380 5% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore5¢ All1/6 17% Speeches / ceremonies1/6 17% Official speeches / ceremonies10/380 3% N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore46¢ All123/178 69% Speeches / ceremonies65/99 66% Official speeches / ceremonies204/380 54% N Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore23¢ All73/111 66% Speeches / ceremonies46/71 65% Official speeches / ceremonies225/380 59% Y N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore19¢ All2/14 14% Speeches / ceremonies1/12 8% Official speeches / ceremonies42/380 11% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore21¢ All52/97 54% Speeches / ceremonies30/55 55% Official speeches / ceremonies137/380 36% N N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore73¢ All23/40 58% Speeches / ceremonies15/24 63% Official speeches / ceremonies165/380 43% Y Y N N N
YES Before startBefore72¢ All9/16 56% Speeches / ceremonies6/13 46% Official speeches / ceremonies60/380 16% N Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore52¢ All121/234 52% Speeches / ceremonies87/134 65% Official speeches / ceremonies153/380 40% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore66¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies22/380 6% N
NO Before startBefore31¢ All43/63 68% Speeches / ceremonies27/42 64% Official speeches / ceremonies170/380 45% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore54¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies0/380 0% N
YES Before startBefore97¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies28/380 7% Y
NO Before startBefore27¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies1/380 0% —
NO Before startBefore12¢ All15/35 43% Speeches / ceremonies6/15 40% Official speeches / ceremonies88/380 23% N Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore24¢ All4/5 80% Speeches / ceremonies4/5 80% Official speeches / ceremonies69/380 18% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore80¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies6/380 2% N Y
YES Before startBefore98¢ All1/7 14% Speeches / ceremonies1/5 20% Official speeches / ceremonies26/380 7% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore44¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies0/380 0% N
YES Before startBefore58¢ All87/120 73% Speeches / ceremonies45/67 67% Official speeches / ceremonies157/380 41% N Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore28¢ All47/78 60% Speeches / ceremonies25/38 66% Official speeches / ceremonies187/380 49% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore33¢ All10/15 67% Speeches / ceremonies5/6 83% Official speeches / ceremonies156/380 41% Y N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore91¢ All4/9 44% Speeches / ceremonies4/7 57% Official speeches / ceremonies46/380 12% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore15¢ All0/5 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/4 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies0/380 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore5¢ All1/3 33% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies3/380 1% N Y N
YES Before startBefore29¢ All70/136 51% Speeches / ceremonies39/75 52% Official speeches / ceremonies106/380 28% Y Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore11¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies2/380 1% —
NO Before startBefore9¢ All1/6 17% Speeches / ceremonies1/4 25% small n Official speeches / ceremonies2/380 1% N N N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Special for this event

  • Video of the Remarks at NASA Lyndon B. Johnson Space Center using the live broadcast or stream.
  • If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Remarks at NASA Lyndon B. Johnson Space Center will be used.
  • The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
  • Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
  • Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity.
  • For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.
  • Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
  • Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Remarks at NASA Lyndon B. Johnson Space Center, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the Remarks at NASA Lyndon B. Johnson Space Center using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Remarks at NASA Lyndon B. Johnson Space Center will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker