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26 said 14 not said of 40 words

Not held 27 of 332 past Trump events, 11 of 52 meetings

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Meetings Official meetings · 114 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore— All— Meetings— Official meetings8/114 7% —
NO Before startBefore— All52/147 35% Meetings5/16 31% Official meetings33/114 29% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore— All0/1 0% Meetings— Official meetings4/114 4% N
NO Before startBefore— All— Meetings— Official meetings0/114 0% —
YES Before startBefore— All204/279 73% Meetings31/39 79% Official meetings74/114 65% N N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore— All— Meetings— Official meetings86/114 75% —
NO Before startBefore— All— Meetings— Official meetings0/114 0% —
YES Before startBefore— All5/10 50% Meetings0/1 0% small n Official meetings4/114 4% Y N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore— All9/82 11% Meetings2/14 14% Official meetings15/114 13% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore— All46/77 60% Meetings4/6 67% Official meetings69/114 61% Y N Y N N
NO Before startBefore— All9/212 4% Meetings0/27 0% Official meetings2/114 2% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore— All— Meetings— Official meetings7/114 6% —
YES Before startBefore— All2/3 67% Meetings— Official meetings0/114 0% N Y Y
YES Before startBefore— All— Meetings— Official meetings16/114 14% —
NO Before startBefore— All3/5 60% Meetings0/1 0% small n Official meetings30/114 26% N N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore— All59/109 54% Meetings5/10 50% Official meetings36/114 32% N Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore— All10/30 33% Meetings1/4 25% small n Official meetings8/114 7% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore— All2/5 40% Meetings0/2 0% small n Official meetings25/114 22% Y N N N Y
YES Before startBefore— All— Meetings— Official meetings5/114 4% —
YES Before startBefore— All21/66 32% Meetings2/12 17% Official meetings6/114 5% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore— All2/3 67% Meetings1/1 100% small n Official meetings24/114 21% Y N Y
YES Before startBefore— All13/16 81% Meetings0/2 0% small n Official meetings52/114 46% Y N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All43/88 49% Meetings9/14 64% Official meetings41/114 36% Y N N Y N
YES Before startBefore— All0/1 0% Meetings— Official meetings34/114 30% N
NO Before startBefore— All22/52 42% Meetings8/13 62% Official meetings48/114 42% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore— All1/19 5% Meetings0/2 0% small n Official meetings6/114 5% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore— All91/127 72% Meetings16/20 80% Official meetings55/114 48% Y N N N Y
YES Before startBefore— All60/97 62% Meetings4/8 50% Official meetings56/114 49% Y N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore— All2/9 22% Meetings1/1 100% small n Official meetings11/114 10% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore— All18/42 43% Meetings7/13 54% Official meetings52/114 46% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All2/3 67% Meetings— Official meetings22/114 19% Y Y N
YES Before startBefore— All12/36 33% Meetings5/13 38% Official meetings21/114 18% N Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore— All14/21 67% Meetings2/6 33% Official meetings69/114 61% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All4/5 80% Meetings— Official meetings27/114 24% Y Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore— All79/154 51% Meetings7/16 44% Official meetings22/114 19% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore— All2/13 15% Meetings0/3 0% small n Official meetings10/114 9% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore— All123/189 65% Meetings22/32 69% Official meetings65/114 57% Y N Y N N
YES Before startBefore— All3/6 50% Meetings1/1 100% small n Official meetings61/114 54% N N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore— All— Meetings— Official meetings28/114 25% —
YES Before startBefore— All0/1 0% Meetings— Official meetings23/114 20% N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official meetings: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Meetings. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of any United Nations meeting or event, excluding remarks to the United Nations General Assembly, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the any United Nations meeting or event, excluding remarks to the United Nations General Assembly, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the any United Nations meeting or event, excluding remarks to the United Nations General Assembly, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.